Everything Is Predictable

Everything Is Predictable 'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting' Oliver Burkeman 'A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem' Will Storrs 'Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you' Tim Harford Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like